News

 Europe at the polls: what’s at stake for the future? Economic Perspective 5/21/2024

Europe at the polls: what’s at stake for the future?

As it happens every five years, EU (European Union) citizens are called to elect the members of the European Parliament, on 6-9 June. The Parliament shares legislative powers with the EU Council (it votes on laws and the budget) and has powers of scrutiny over the Commission.

Metallurgy, the main tool of the industrial transition Economic Perspective 5/21/2024

Metallurgy, the main tool of the industrial transition

“In the next 30 years, we will have extracted as much [metals] as since the start of humanity!” – Philippe Varin in his report on Securing the Supply of Mineral Raw Materials.

The environment for equities remains favourable in our view Market Outlook 5/21/2024

The environment for equities remains favourable in our view

Three British economists—Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton of the London Business School, and Elroy Dimson from Cambridge University—have embarked on a meticulous endeavour: they have traced 35 stock markets around the world as far back as possible to test a core theoretical question of investment. Are equities truly superior to all other asset classes over the long term?

US election – What to expect from Trump Season 2 Market Outlook 5/17/2024

US election – What to expect from Trump Season 2

Even if the protagonists are already known, the rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump will once again captivate the world until 5 November. The two candidates are neck-and-neck in the opinion polls and there is no clear favorite now. In geopolitical terms, such as support for Ukraine or the future of NATO, a second Trump presidency could have some consequences.

Equities remain unmatched over the long term Market Outlook 4/19/2024

Equities remain unmatched over the long term

Three British economists—Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton of the London Business School, and Elroy Dimson from Cambridge University—have embarked on a meticulous endeavour: they have traced 35 stock markets around the world as far back as possible to test a core theoretical question of investment. Are equities truly superior to all other asset classes over the long term?

The moment of truth for public debt Economic Perspective 4/18/2024

The moment of truth for public debt

Economic crises leave a legacy of high public debt. Expansion phases should be used as an opportunity by governments to reduce their debt and rebuild some headroom in their public finances. This is easier said than done. Let’s look at what happened after the last two major crises.

The end of the American dream? Market Outlook 4/13/2024

The end of the American dream?

We must confess that we have a strategic "bias" in favor of the US market. The past 15 years proves us quite right. Since the end of the 2007-2008 Financial Crisis, Europe has outperformed for only 27 months, or just over 2 years. This structural outperformance of the US vs. Europe is mainly explained by a more robust EPS dynamic in the US.

Myths and realities Market Outlook 3/13/2024

Myths and realities

Large-cap growth stocks are once again driving the market, especially in the US where the “Magnificent Seven”, except for Tesla, dominate S&P 500 gains in 2024. US tech stocks continue to stand out, outperforming the S&P 500 by 7.4% since October 2023.

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